Preseason Rankings
Western Carolina
Southern
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#215
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.2#76
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#161
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#278
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 5.4% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.3 14.3
.500 or above 33.2% 63.0% 30.5%
.500 or above in Conference 36.6% 56.9% 34.8%
Conference Champion 2.3% 5.5% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.7% 3.4% 12.5%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round2.5% 5.0% 2.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 8.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 33 - 54 - 12
Quad 49 - 412 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 62   @ Georgia L 70-85 8%    
  Nov 09, 2019 176   Gardner-Webb W 76-75 53%    
  Nov 12, 2019 325   N.C. A&T W 78-68 83%    
  Nov 15, 2019 18   @ Florida St. L 67-86 3%    
  Nov 21, 2019 298   @ Jacksonville W 80-78 57%    
  Nov 24, 2019 336   @ Stetson W 82-76 70%    
  Dec 03, 2019 235   Chattanooga W 77-73 63%    
  Dec 07, 2019 301   UNC Asheville W 75-67 76%    
  Dec 18, 2019 23   @ Xavier L 65-84 5%    
  Dec 21, 2019 310   @ Tennessee Tech W 76-73 60%    
  Jan 04, 2020 306   @ The Citadel W 88-86 58%    
  Jan 08, 2020 300   @ VMI W 82-80 56%    
  Jan 11, 2020 204   Mercer W 77-74 59%    
  Jan 15, 2020 102   @ Furman L 69-79 19%    
  Jan 18, 2020 71   East Tennessee St. L 73-80 27%    
  Jan 22, 2020 204   @ Mercer L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 25, 2020 107   Wofford L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 29, 2020 96   UNC Greensboro L 71-76 35%    
  Feb 01, 2020 235   @ Chattanooga L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 05, 2020 142   @ Samford L 76-83 27%    
  Feb 08, 2020 102   Furman L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 12, 2020 96   @ UNC Greensboro L 68-79 19%    
  Feb 15, 2020 107   @ Wofford L 70-80 21%    
  Feb 19, 2020 300   VMI W 85-77 74%    
  Feb 22, 2020 306   The Citadel W 91-83 76%    
  Feb 26, 2020 142   Samford L 79-80 47%    
  Feb 29, 2020 71   @ East Tennessee St. L 70-83 13%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.6 3rd
4th 0.2 1.5 3.5 3.2 1.0 0.1 9.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.7 3.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.9 5.9 3.6 0.6 0.0 15.1 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 4.7 5.9 3.0 0.5 0.0 16.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.6 5.3 4.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 15.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.9 4.3 2.6 0.9 0.1 11.6 9th
10th 0.3 1.2 2.0 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 7.1 10th
Total 0.3 1.3 2.8 5.6 8.1 10.1 11.5 12.0 11.9 10.4 8.7 6.6 5.1 2.9 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 93.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 69.9% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 39.7% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 51.5% 48.5% 3.0% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9%
17-1 0.1% 36.9% 28.0% 8.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.3%
16-2 0.3% 24.1% 20.4% 3.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.6%
15-3 1.0% 19.2% 17.7% 1.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.8%
14-4 1.5% 13.8% 13.8% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.3
13-5 2.9% 13.4% 13.1% 0.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.5 0.3%
12-6 5.1% 8.1% 8.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.7
11-7 6.6% 5.2% 5.2% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.3
10-8 8.7% 3.6% 3.6% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.4
9-9 10.4% 2.4% 2.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.1
8-10 11.9% 1.1% 1.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.8
7-11 12.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.9
6-12 11.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 11.4
5-13 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.1
4-14 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 8.0
3-15 5.6% 5.6
2-16 2.8% 2.8
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.6% 2.5% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.4 97.4 0.0%